2024 presidential election live updates: Shock poll reveals chances of a huge upset in state Republicans haven’t won since 2004

With 46 days until Election Day, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are still in a dead heat in the presidential election.

Polling in Georgia – a battleground that could decide the election – shows the Republican nominee leading.

Meanwhile, a new DailyMail.com poll has found voters believe Harris is responsible for some of the disastrous policies seen under Biden – including rising inflation, the border crisis, and the botched Afghanistan withdrawal.

And longtime Texas GOP Senator Ted Cruz‘s reelection race could be in trouble after a shocking new poll put him one point behind his Democratic challenger.

Shock poll reveals Trump gaining on Harris in state Republicans haven’t won since 2004

Vice President Kamala Harris is just two points ahead of Donald Trump in Virginia, a state Republicans haven’t won since 2004, a new poll shows.

The University of Mary Washington survey found Harris at 48 percent and Trump at 46 percent in a two-way race.

The results are in the margin area, and suggests the race could be much closer than its current projection.

Real Clear Politics has Harris leading by an average of 4.5 points, while Decision Desk HQ gives the VP a 90 percent chance of winning.

Stephen J. Farnsworth, director of the university’s Center for Leadership and Media Studies, said:

This new survey suggests Virginia should be getting a much closer look from both presidential campaigns.

Virginia may deserve to be treated as a ‘swing state’ once again this year.

Ted Cruz in trouble against Texas Democrat challenger in eye-popping new poll

Texas Republican Senator Ted Cruz is trailing his Democratic challenger Colin Allred in a shocking new poll that could signal trouble for the longtime lawmaker.

According to a Morning Consult survey released Friday, Allred has a one-point advantage over Cruz at 45% to 44%.

It comes after Donald Trump adviser Chris LaCivita wrote on X earlier this week: ‘What the hell is wrong with the Senate race in Texas? I think i know …and i think i know his name ….time to get some real professionals in to save @tedcruz’

Cruz is still expected to keep his seat and has held a lead over Allred in all previous polls.

The Cook Political Report maintains that the race is still ‘likely Republican.’

The Wharton School weighs in on what they really think about Kamala Harris’ economic plan

The Wharton School pushed back against Vice President Kamala Harris on Friday for repeatedly claiming the institution gave her economic plan a great review on how it would help the economy.

The Wharton School of Business pushed back against Vice President Kamala Harris on Friday after she claimed that the institution said her economic plan would help strengthen the economy.

Top business school assesses Kamala Harris’ claim she will make YOU better off if elected president

The Wharton School of Business pushed back against Vice President Kamala Harris on Friday after she claimed that the institution said her economic plan would help strengthen the economy.

Harris made the claim during a political forum event with superstar Oprah Winfrey, citing Goldman Sachs, Moody’s, the Wharton School of Business and 16 Nobel laureates.

Harris’ citation of Wharton appears to be a direct shot at former President Donald Trump who graduated from the school.

But Wharton clarified their views to Harris’ claim to Newsweek.

‘We did not find a positive impact on the economy from her plan in any future year. The Trump plan does increase GDP for a few years but lowers by the end of the 10-year budget window,’ a spokesperson for the University of Pennsylvania‘s Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM) said in a statement.

The school’s report predicted that Harris’ plan would increase the national deficit by as much as $2 trillion dollars, citing a dynamic estimate that includes the reduction in economic activity.

The report also pointed out that Harris’ plan would cause GDP to fall as well as capitol investment, working hours and wages.

The study, however, is not much kinder to Trump’s economic plan.

Donald Trump with his father, Fred Trump, after graduating from Wharton in 1968.

Wharton University of Pennsylvania sign near school campus

The report estimates that Trump’s plan could increase deficits by more than Harris’ but also specifies that ‘households across all income groups benefit on a conventional basis.’

Trump cited the Wharton School during his presidential debate with Harris.

‘Look, I went to the Wharton School of Finance and many of those professors, the top professors, think my plan is a brilliant plan, it’s a great plan. It’s a plan that’s going to bring up our worth, our value as a country,’ he said.

From 1902 to 1971, Pennsylvania State University’s business school was known as the ‘Wharton School of Finance and Commerce’ until they changed the name in 1972 to simply the ‘Wharton School.’

Trump graduated from the university in 1968.